The value sits between the data and the decision
AURORAH combines a founder-developed analytical method with permitted third-party information and specialist tools, and keeps every assessment tied to the client's own decision.
The service runs through the whole strategic cycle, not only the crisis
Stable
Maintain the baseline, monitor long-range indicators and challenge assumptions.
Changing
Identify shifts early, revise scenarios and preserve decision options.
Crisis
Increase cadence through flash estimates and executive briefings.
After the event
Test outcomes, document revisions and reset the next monitoring cycle.
Four commitments behind every assessment
A maintained decision baseline
Each engagement starts by establishing what normal activity looks like for the client's question, so that meaningful deviations stand out from routine noise.
Indicators tied to your decision
Warning indicators are agreed with the client and sequenced across air, land, sea, space and cyber, so each change is read against the decision it affects.
Attributable human assessment
Every estimate states its judgement, its confidence and the evidence that would change it, under named analytical accountability.
Vendor-neutral sourcing
Sources are selected for the question, subject to licences, lawful access and the client's permissions, rather than fixed by a single supplier.
Project AURORAH GeoSignal MASINT System
AURORAH’s approach is based on the Project AURORAH methodology. Geospatial data, commercially licensed radio-frequency and signature data, and other lawfully available sources are combined in a five-stage method, under a review arrangement recorded in the engagement terms.
- The client's priority question
- The decision it will inform
- Audience and timeframe
- Security and handling requirements
- Map the relevant actors
- Document starting conditions
- Agree monitoring indicators
- Confidence and reporting cadence
- Imagery and geospatial data
- Licensed radio-frequency data
- Licensed signature data
- Air and maritime movement
- Expert judgement and open sources
- Time and location alignment
- Orbit and overpass correlation
- Pattern-of-life baselines
- Competing explanations tested
- Source reliability and gaps
- Confidence and scenarios
- Review recorded in engagement terms
- Revised as new evidence arrives
Inputs in Stage 3 are used where lawfully available and appropriately licensed for the engagement; partner commercial sensing products and third-party data and tools are distinguished from AURORAH's own analytical work. AURORAH does not intercept communications.
AURORAH integrates information and intelligence from multiple sources and domains through the Project AURORAH GeoSignal MASINT methodology. Sources and methods are protected; the inputs and analytical arrangements used for each engagement are governed by applicable permissions, confidentiality, security requirements and agreed contractual terms.
An assessed outlook, warning indicators, confidence level and implications for the client's decision.
This describes the analytical workflow. The sources used in any engagement vary with licences, lawful access and the agreed mandate.
We select sources and platforms for each question
- SpaceOptical and radar (SAR) satellite imagery
- SpectrumCommercially licensed radio-frequency and signature data
- SeaVessel tracking (AIS) and port activity
- AirFlight tracking (ADS-B) and airspace activity
- InformationNews, social media and official statements, in many languages
- HumanExpert judgement from regional specialist networks
- ClientClient-approved data and requirements
What the service includes today, and what can be added
Analyst-led strategic monitoring
Analyst-led strategic monitoring, fused assessment and decision briefing, delivered within the agreed mandate. Revisions to each judgement are recorded under the engagement controls agreed with the client.
- Baseline and indicator register for the client's question
- Written estimates, flash alerts and executive briefings
- A record of what changed, when, and why the view moved
Added by agreement, per engagement
Advanced search, private language models, enhanced audit, secure tenancy and customer-hosted workflows, subject to an approved design, licences, deployment and security acceptance.
- Multi-lingual search across news, social media, imagery and ship and aircraft tracking
- Source grading and captured-record integrity checks
- Private language models for sensitive work, under analyst control
- Shared tasking with an audit trail, and client data kept in the client's jurisdiction
Available data, advanced software features and deployment arrangements depend on each client's mandate, applicable licences and an approved technical design.
A clear output for each stage of the requirement
Starting conditions, critical actors, assumptions and indicators.
At the startMaterial changes, what has been corroborated and what remains uncertain.
ContinuousA time-sensitive assessment when a development changes the decision window.
When it mattersStructured evidence, alternative explanations, scenarios and confidence.
ScheduledA concise explanation of implications and the decisions that may need preparation.
Scheduled or on requestAn explicit judgement
Stated in one sentence, at the top, with its confidence level.
Dated context
What changed, and when, so the reader can see why the view moved.
The next phase
Assessed ahead of time, with the indicators that would confirm it.